Free Debt Consolidation Articles

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Systematic Investment Planning through Mutual Funds

There exists a misconception with amateur investors who consider SIP to be a kind of a Mutual Fund. Technically speaking a Systematic Investment Plan is not a Mutual Fund, rather a way to invest upon it. There are a couple of ways that you can invest in a Mutual fund; one is a one time payment and the other through periodic investments. The later is termed to be Mutual Fund SIP. It is more of an investment mode rather then an investment avenue as many point out. An average investor opting for Mutual Fund Investments via Mutual Fund SIP invests in small amounts at regular intervals instead of a lump sum payment. In this case he is benefited by escaping the volatility that exists in Stock Markets by lowering the average purchase cost. Since the investment amount for each SIP installment is fixed, the investor gains by receiving a higher number of mutual fund units, assets collectively termed as Mutual Fund NAV (Net asset value).

Investing through Mutual Fund SIP disciplines your investment attitude. Often lack of discipline has been citied as the major reason for failing to reach long term financial goals. Amount that is saved aside for investment purposes gets spent on unnecessary things hence canceling the investment. Also high amounts are another cause of worry. With a SIP the investment amount is low and periodic, hence making the entire process easy. Another important aspect during investment is timing. How long you keep investing doesn’t matter, when you invest does. Timing the market is critical and through SIP you keep investing at regular intervals which makes it all the more possible to have the amount invested at the right time. Simply investing will also not count if you are not aware of the assets that you are investing on. Through Equity Research along with correct asset allocation is to be done prior to investing in Stock Markets. Opting for the guidance of a fund manager helps.

Mutual Fund Investments are always considered to be risky. Hence opting for the correct assets do help. Say your investments is diversified into 3 classes, if either of them suffers a loss you will have the other two assets on whom you can bank on to equalize your return. Diversifying your portfolio as much as possible helps. The last year recession did make the stock market in India go volatile. As of now the best Indian Mutual Funds that could be invested on are 1) Franklin India Blue Chip Fund, 2) HDFC Equity, 3) ICICI Power Prudential, 4) Fullerton India Mutual Funds, 5) Sundaram Growth (Data from genuine resource). Almost every other advertisement reads “Mutual Funds investments are subject to market risk, please read the offer document carefully before investing.” It is imperative that you conduct a thorough analysis on the fund you are investing upon. It’s past performance (3 years) should tell a lot. Overall if you tread properly prior to investing in Mutual Funds, you could reap handsome rewards. Read More......

The Holy Grail of Commodity Markets & Forex Markets

After being in the field since 1994 and working with many investors and traders it has become very clear to me what is the HOLY GRAIL in the Commodity Markets & Forex Markets. The whole basis of trading with CNBC, Bloomberg and others is based on trying to have an edge of information or finding some magic system or trading signals. A well folk, the Holy Grail does not exist that way (in this context). No one knows more than you. Even with all their analysis there is no magic system, no magic guru. The only way is to achieve long term success is to diversify your allocations, managers and methodologies. Since I want to compound my way to long term wealth, what I do is allocate between 2-3% per idea/manager, no more than 5% ever. Even though I am co manager of a commodity pool and I think we are pretty clever after seeing every mistake possible (plus some of the ones we made), I still only allocate up to 5% of my net worth in any of our trading programs. In conjunction to achieve my goals, I allocate to other commodity trading advisers who think the way I think (mostly about risk). I realize anything can happen and 6th sigma events are out there. My goal is to compound my way to wealth. I have seen personally the power of compounding and the difference it has made in my own net worth.

In my opinion what differentiates a successful trader and one that wants to be is how the trader utilizes risk…understands risk…and implements risk. Many in the field remember Julian Robertson’s bet with the Yen carry trade or Long term capital. These guys were PhDs and had tons of money under management who had no concept of risk. They blew up! There is also the story of Amaranth the energy trading company that blew up…or in years past Metalgeschaff. Now compare the last mentioned to commodity trading advisers that have been around for decades like Jerry Parker from Chesapeake… or David Druz…as well as a handful of others, all they think about is risk.

With the experience I have earned over the years, this is the Holy Grail. If you truly want to be successful in this business you need a methodology & plan, with every contingency planned out. Why you enter… why you exit with a loss…or why you exit with a profit…as well as how many shares or contracts you put on. There are countless books on the issue… however too many are focused on this great indicator or complicated system. I can tell you first hand from being a trader for almost 15 years, only simple ideas can work over the long run. The problem is most people try to avoid risk. In their quest to avoid risk they take on more risk. The prime example is all the Madoff investors. There is no way to avoid risk…everything has risk. In order to be successful embrace the risk. Realize that any trade is 50/50. It is perfectly fine that a trade does not work. It is like breathing in and out. Realize there are only four possible outcomes… big losses. In which you need to prevent with immediate stops that don’t change… small losses… small profits… and rare… big profits…when something trends and you catch it. This starts to put things in context. One starts to realize this becomes a numbers game. Profits are made over long periods. One must take every trade as we never know which trades will ever work. This is the psychology of trading…but much more important than what any commentator has to say on CNBC.

There is much more. Since we know all the above… (That we don’t know the future…any trade is 50/50…etc) how to stay in the game? Here is our Holy Grail…and yes… it is really the Holy Grail. As a trader or investor… you have to decide how much of a draw down you can with stand. Meaning the greater the potential returns…the greater the potential drawdowns. No pain …no gain… but to what extent. As we want our investors to stay with us…as well as we know anything can happen. We prefer the compound your way to wealth model. Our goal over the long run is 15-20% returns with approx that much in anticipated draw downs. This is the key now… WE BREAK UP OUR RISK MODEL INTO SEVERAL ASPECTS IN ORDER TO ATTEMPT TO ACHIEVE OUR GOALS… First we decide risk per trade… meaning how much of our account are we going to risk on any trade. In our case we strive to risk less than one percent. Believe me that is enough. Some traders think that is way too small…but they realize after their first draw down. Secondly we look at correlations as too many a time. We had a concentrated position in the bonds or currencies…and wake up to see they are moving jointly in the opposite direction. So our maximum allocation per sector is no greater than 5%. The next most important issue is maximum open trade equity. Again, same lovely story… profits are flowing nicely and then we wake up in the morning to see they are going in the opposite direction. So we cap our only trade equity depending on volatility to a low of 20%. As you glean we are accepting the risk…and looking to manage the risk.
We have a working methodology based on the above but as I stated earlier it is not the Holy Grail. What happens in reality, for instance this year…? Nothing happens in the commodity markets… It is quit. This is what separates those who achieve success and those you can’t. There are times in the markets, nothing happens. It is these times in which a trader needs to be patient and disciplined. Truthfully nothing has to happen and when you expect the least the greatest profits come like last year. This is a marathon or I like to compare it to a football game. Too many investors want nice consistent monthly returns. They jumped on asset backed lending ideas… Madoff ideas only to lose a large chunk of their money. In the commodity arena the best analogy is I want to win the football game. Does it really matter if I score in every quarter…or if I score several touch downs in the last quarter when many in the stands have walked out in disgust. Read More......

Third Party Car Insurance Can Protect You Against Catastrophic Financial Consequences

You make many important buying decisions in your adult life. Among the most important of these buying decisions is which third party car insurance policy to buy. First of all, you should understand what third party car insurance is. You may hear this type of insurance referred to as liability insurance. It is the insurance policy that pays your bills if your vehicle damages someone else’s property. Third party is the term that the industry uses to refer to the person that is harmed. You are the first party and the company that underwrites the third party car insurance polity is the second party.

Because your choice of coverage and insurance provider for your third party car insurance is so important you need to do some research to determine that the company you choose has a good reputation and track record for paying off claims. You also need to make sure that the coverage limits that you select comply with the requirements specified by the local governmental agency that regulates third party car insurance in your area.

When you are thinking of purchasing a third party car insurance policy it really pays to do some price comparison. Luckily it is easy to do this. Most of the larger companies offer online tools to help you get a quotations and there are car insurance portal sites that allow you to research third party car insurance policy pricing for a number of companies at the same time. Normally you can also specify any optional coverage or other options that you might be interested in.

Specific policy pricing will depend on a variety of factors. Most companies will consider your driving record as well as any specific coverage you are buying. You want to be sure to take advantage of any discount programs that may be offered. Many companies offer discounts for drivers that have excellent driving records and other offer discounts for situations such as insuring multiple vehicles at the same time. Even if you already have a third party car insurance policy in force, it may be worth your while to do a little comparison shopping. It is possible that you can find more favorable pricing by moving to a different provider from time to time. Read More......

How to Execute Asset Allocation

We all investors try and maintain a diversified asset allocation in our investments. In my discussions with many folks, I have seen that many use different ways of executing this diversification. Many use combination of real estate, equities, gold, etc. In case of equities, quite a few enterprising ones long term portfolio in combination with trading portfolio. Many of us, including me, are aware of different types of asset class and investment vehicles. Unfortunately, for most of us individual investors, we fail to understand how to execute effectively. We really do not know how to engineer our portfolio such that it has optimum asset allocation for our risk profile. We think we allocate little bit of capital to all assets and we should be good to go without any worries.

Theoretically, asset allocation is a risk management methodology which depends upon relationship between expected return and risk. In last five year (or more perhaps?), David Swensen and Mohammed El-Erian have shown how this is executed. For starter’s David Swensen is portfolio manager at Yale’s Endowment Fund while El-Erian managed Harvard’s Endowment Fund. The reason I looked at these two portfolio is because, both of these funds, provide more than a one billion US Dollar to university for operating expenses. These funds are managed for cash flow and capital appreciation.

I am looking at Swensen’s work with Yale Endowment Fund (source). This is a US based institutional fund, therefore, may not have a direct bearing on any Indian individual investors. I am including it in this discussion to highlight how the fund’s asset allocation is managed by using ‘expected real return’ and ‘standard deviation of the returns’. Real Return here means over an above inflation. The table below shows the different asset classes with expected real return and standard deviations.

  • Every asset class has its own expected return and its corresponding standard deviation.
  • Every asset class has a varying capital allocation level
  • Every asset class has a very high degree of volatility. For example, domestic equity has 6% expected real return, while its standard deviation is 20%. Same way, private equity has 11.2% expected real return, and its standard deviation is 27.7%. In both cases, the manager expects that there will high volatility.

Executing Asset allocation - Yale Endowment Fund

Executing Asset allocation - Yale Endowment Fund

The interesting point in this asset allocation methodology is the use of concept of expected return. The fund manager projects upfront what would be expected return and how much volatility is expected.

How many of us attempt to project our expected return in a realistic way? When we make an investment (note: not trading), how many of us do it expecting certain level of volatility?

In all my stock analysis, I use expected beta-based return to understand or project my expected return over 8 to 10 years time frame. Based on last 10 years, the expected yearly return from NIFTY is 15.5% (including inflation) while standard deviation is 29%. If we consider an average inflation of 5%, the expected real return comes to around 10.5% for equities.

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Hard Drive Recovery

Now the digital world is becoming more sophisticated, on multiple computers, so we finish our work. We can not live without a computer in a single day. This gadget is very important for us to support our daily work. Because of its importance, it is crucial for us, it's always the conversation. However, problems come suddenly May. It is possible that your computer serious problems, and you lose all your important data. It is therefore the data? We are grateful that computer experts should have worked hard to find a way to restore lost data. Therefore, as we lose our data is no longer a major problem.

DTI Data – Hard Drive Recovery


You can also deal with the situation at the moment. All your data has lost a few days ago, you need data for the presentation a few days later. You do not need more, because it is within reach here. Many companies can recover data, but we recommend that you trust only DTI data. Why this company? There are good reasons for this company as your partner. DTI is a database company, which provides a reliable service in Hard Drive Recovery. The company was founded in this area for a longer period and the number of customers. They have many services for the data recovery, so they still have the solution, regardless of how bad is your problem. They are supported by a strong team, through research, also in the development of technology for the restoration of data. If you have lost your data, it is required of them to solve the problem before it ever more difficult soon. For a harddrive repair, need two to five days to end. Trust for the repair of the hard disk offers even more advantages. It is not necessary, a lot of money for a service at reasonable prices. Moreover, they ensure that it is not willing to pay if they do not restore data. Thanks for the good offices, the company has become very popular. A customer from DTI writing blog PC World, as they are with their service. You can read at PC World Article About DTI , which is surely a service to restore the hard drive companies, you can count on.
Learn more about this company, if you Dtidata.com. Here you can find out what services they offer. DTI ever analysis of data on your hard disk and then carefully the problems of the correct way to retrieve. E 'can also check your hard drive via the free phone number for their problem. They are 24 / 7 in order to analyze the problem and proposals for an intelligent solution. Call now to secure your hard disk and received the Special Prize. Read More......